Winning Strategy

Winning Strategy

Agility Track

Simplifying COMPLEXITY and its Estimation

🎁 Notion Template to assess Complexity in User Stories

Vibhor Chandel's avatar
Vibhor Chandel
Nov 20, 2025
∙ Paid

In 1969, Apollo engineers faced a complex problem.

When they plotted a route to the moon, they knew their math would be wrong within minutes of launch.

So they didn’t try to achieve a perfect trajectory.

That was impossible to do…

They built a system that could correct course every few seconds.

Product teams face a similar challenge each sprint: estimating work that has never been done before.

Most teams try to guess.

There is nothing wrong with guessing, except that it may prove quite costly.

Very few teams treat complexity like the Apollo trajectory problem.

For them, “complexity” IS NOT a gut feeling.

They use different systems and techniques to assess and then estimate Complexity.

In this post, I will share a technique I have seen mature teams use to estimate complexity.

Plus a 🎁 Notion template to simplify the assessment.

Let’s get started.

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